philo
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Everything posted by philo
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Damn kids blocked the bate. I wonder if they are unsupervised?
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OMG...Is Leora engaging with a voyeur from below her balcony? (after 19:43.00)
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I'm watching the session between Alberto and Martina now. Martina appears to want to suck dick and be fucked at the same time. Maybe we can see that one day.
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Pundits, Pundits, Pundits, all trying to explain things that they don't understand. It would be much easier if people starting seeing Martina as different from Nelly in every regard. Trying to make one responsible for the others' behavior is non-sensical. It would also help if people stopped thinking of Martina as being married to Alberto. That would make everything make a lot more sense.
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B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I will leave it to the intelligence of the forum to past judgement on my post and your post. I'm done talking with you. Please desist or you will be entering the realm of trolling. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I was taught that there is a difference between Ignorance and stupidity. Ignorance is "not knowing" while stupidity is "not wanting to know". -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
If you don't learn anything else today, you need to know that the absence of evidence is not evidence. I'm afraid I cannot help you anymore with this so lets discontinue this dialogue. Have a good day. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Even after this elementary styled explanation, there will continue to be those who don't understand because they think I am trying to "Prove something". The continue to say that because there was no camera to record it that it did not happen. They are the people who think that a tree never falls in the forest because there was no one there to observe it. I'm done with those conversations. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Let me satisfy your requirement for specific data: I will, on this date, predict that the next time Gina is invited to a party, that she will get up and dance. That is the prediction. The evidence is that RLC replay will reveal that on all previous occasions where Gina was invited to a party, Gina has gotten up and danced. I cannot prove that Gina is going to dance at the next party (And I am not trying to prove it) but my confidence level is high that it is a probability above 50%. (My expectation is that it is actually about 90%) We can all wait and see if Gina gets up and dances at the next party. I cannot simplify it more than this. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Before RLC replay, I developed my own archives, from which I would review at least three times before.I would make a post to give my opinion about a scene. Everyone who did not see what I saw decided that it was fair game for a challenge. Now that RlC has instituted Replay, no one challenges me anymore because we can all go back and see what was missed the first time. It's not complicated. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
See RLC replay. I don't report on anything that has not been seen by everyone. However, not everyone sees the same. LOL -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
What many people on this forum are demanding is "Proof". Good luck with that! Proof is the outcome of the deductive reasoning approach. The scientific community gave up on that a few hundred years ago because it is not attainable. The standard now is "high probability" which is an outcome of inductive reasoning, which is attainable. Usually acceptable is a probability of greater than chance. I personally strive for something above 75%. For me, (and for most people in the world) that is sufficient. In my work, we often achieve above 90%. This is possible now with the advent of algorithms. They offer degrees now in predictive analytics. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I have watched for many hours...I have viewed and reviewed scenes that I thought had some meaning beyond the obvious...I have, in fact, used inductive, (rather than a deductive) approaches to my analysis...I have used fact pattern recognition strategies...I have also used the training I have received in observation (not unlike the training one might be receive as a law enforcement investigator). The best skill of all, i learned from my grandmother: not to a make declarative statement that I could not back up with evidence. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
You still don't get it do you? I have not made any empirical statements that I need to provide evidence for. And, I know enough not to attempt to make the claim that the lack of evidence is evidence. Sorry to disappoint you. LOL -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I cannot believe you just posted that???? Please talk to someone who can't point out to you what's wrong with that statement. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
People usually describe their opinions as their opinion, their belief, their theory, or their thougghts...normally a declarative statement like "Nothing more" is usually reserved to those who have some sort of empirical evidence to back it up. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Regarding Gina, I once also thought that Gina's persona was only a childish joke. Then, I observed an incident that changed my opinion of her. I now see her as someone hiding enormous pain and hurt. She masks her trauma perfectly by performing the role of the effervescent life of the party. The day after her partner Bruno, fucked her friend Stella on her sofa, they all left the apartment for the beach, according to their beach attire. A while later, Gina returned to the apartment alone, and Bruno and Stella did not return until almost the next day. When Gina first faced the camera, she appeared to be totally devastated!!! After a few minutes of sobbing, she turned on "a switch" and because the Gina we know from all of the parties for so many years. Her ability to immediately hide her pain seems to be a skill that she has practiced and become good at...but I still see the devastation. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
This conversation is following the typical pattern of those who don't want to believe anything that they don't see themselves on camera...except when they are told something different by someone they deem an authority...(also commentary of the current body politic)...VS... those who use their own skills of analysis and induction to arrive at their own understanding. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I was not trying to challenge you...I was trying to determine if you understood the conversation and could offer insight that those of us who don't understand the language might not have. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
I take that to mean that you are merely offering your opinion...not unlike the rest of us? -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
When you say "Nothing more" what is the basis for your statement? -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
There are many who understand them but who choose not to provide pro bono translation services for the forum. I don't blame them at all. I do think that as they interact in conversation on the forum that they should disclose the source of their knowledge. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Martina is leaving. This visit must have some strategic importance to the continuation of the story line. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Nelly and Martina just had a conversation in front of camera 4-5...no doubt for our consumption. It's been my experience that conversations right in front of a camera represent what information they want us to believe. -
B7 - General Topic 2022 #2 (May)
philo replied to Noldus's topic in B#7 Nelly & Bogdan, Madison, Hawk (05/11/22)
Gina's bottoms "accidentally" fell off in front of the guys. LOL