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Discussion:2019 Novel Corona Virus (Covid19) and It's Political Ramifications #3


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1 hour ago, happyone said:

But just to use a current number , total daily deaths on 5/23/20= 4183 x 365 days/yr= 1,526,795 deaths per year, less 346,255 deaths for the 4 month==leaves 1,180,540 worst case total deaths

Thanks for fixing my error. Please allow me to fix yours. You had it right
until you got to the bold text. Since your calculation is based on the death
toll for one day, multiplying by 365 extrapolates that to a total number
for one year, meaning there's no need to subtract the 346.255. You
effectively subtracted that figure when you calculated the one-day total
times 365. So, the accurate answer is 1,526,795.

However, since the daily death toll for much, if not most, of that period
has been well over 5000, 6000, even 7000 deaths, a more accurate
calculation would be to average the total deaths for that 121-day period,
which is 346,434 as of 5/23's totals, multiplied by 365.

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17 minutes ago, letsdothis said:

Thanks for fixing my error. Please allow me to fix yours. You had it right
until you got to the bold text. Since your calculation is based the death
toll for one day, multiplying by 365 extrapolates that to a total number
for one year, meaning there's no need to subtract the 346.255. You
effectively subtracted that figure when you calculated the one-day total
times 365. So, the accurate answer is 1,526,795.

However, since the daily death toll for much, if not most, of that period
has been well over 5000, 6000, even 7000 deaths, a more accurate
calculation would be to average the total deaths for that 121-day period,
which is 346,434 as of 5/23's totals, multiplied by 365.

You are a pseudo intellectual phony.  Who are trying to impress? People who know nothing about mathematics? You take what is a simple calculation and make it into a major endeavor. But it doesn't matter anyway, because that calculation has no connection to reality. Since the death rate is on a steady decline, an average of past deaths/day has no relevance for future projections. 

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32 minutes ago, Ridgerunner said:

it was playing with numbers because that calculation had no basis in reality.

What are you talking about? Are you saying those people didn't die?
What the hell kind of person are you? Those people died and that's
as real as it gets. What the hell is the matter with you?

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45 minutes ago, Ridgerunner said:

I know what you did. You took the number of deaths over two months, divided by two and then multiplied by 12 to project the number of deaths per year. And in this case  it was playing with numbers because that calculation had no basis in reality.

Happy made the same calculation I did, yet you said not a word about
his math. I wonder why that is? Hmm?

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7 hours ago, Ridgerunner said:

Members of the U.S. news media are about to have an orgasm because they will soon be able to announce that the covid-19 death toll in the U.S. has reached 100,000.:cry:

I recall you had one when you claimed the death toll would only be
50,000-60,000.

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4 minutes ago, letsdothis said:

I recall you had one when you claimed the death toll would only be
50,000-60,000.

He was watching Trump Reality TV  where lying is supposedly much better than truth.    :biggrin:

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1 hour ago, Ridgerunner said:

Yeah, you're never wrong. Just like you couldn't admit being wrong about Gov. Cuomo causing deaths in New York nursing homes by requiring them to admit patients infected with covid-19. 

Please don't paint me as being perfect. It's not something I choose
to live up to. And, I wasn't wrong about Cuomo, I simply couldn't
find the article I read.

You need to understand that just because you get no reply to a post,
doesn't mean the person was wrong. What a juvenile mentality.

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1 hour ago, letsdothis said:

Happy made the same calculation I did, yet you said not a word about
his math. I wonder why that is? Hmm?

 

1 hour ago, letsdothis said:

Happy made the same calculation I did, yet you said not a word about
his math. I wonder why that is? Hmm?

Because you are a pompous asshole and he is not.

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2 hours ago, letsdothis said:

Please don't paint me as being perfect. It's not something I choose
to live up to. And, I wasn't wrong about Cuomo, I simply couldn't
find the article I read.

You need to understand that just because you get no reply to a post,
doesn't mean the person was wrong. What a juvenile mentality.

Please don't cry, sorry I hurt your little feelings. You couldn't find the article because it doesn't exist. You were wrong.  I would never paint you as being perfect and confirm your opinion of yourself.

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1 hour ago, letsdothis said:

What are you talking about? Are you saying those people didn't die?
What the hell kind of person are you? Those people died and that's
as real as it gets. What the hell is the matter with you?

I blew up your phony calculations and you try to construe that as me not caring about people dying? Everyone on here knows that I meant your calculations had no basis in reality, not that the deaths were not real.   What a slimy weasel you are.

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7 hours ago, Ridgerunner said:

But if our healthcare system were as bad as Starlight says, why would anyone come to the US to get treatment? That’s all I said. I didn't say anything negative about the health care of other nations. 

Wir wollen differenzieren. Konzentriert auf wenige Standorte gibt es in den USA tatsächlich Spitzenmedizin zu finden. In der Breite ist die Versorgung jedoch unangemessen schlecht. Das liegt an 2 Dingen. Zum einen sind viel zu viele Menschen nicht krankenversichert und können sich medizinische Behandlung nicht leisten und zum anderen ist auch im Bereich Medizin "Gewinn-Maximierung" ohne soziale Komponente vorhanden - also "Raubtier-Kapitalismus".😁

Im übrigen wurde die US-Medizin im fernen Amerika, dem Land der nicht erfüllten Träume, lange überschätzt. Inzwischen gibt es wohl keine Behandlung, die auch in Deutschland gemacht werden könnte. Staatsmänner aus allen Ländern (auch von nicht so befreundeten Ländern) lassen sich inzwischen inkognito in Deutschland medizinisch behandeln und operieren. Das hat sicher seinen Grund.

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